So a while back, when I first started this blog, I thought that the market had bottomed out. March 10 was the day I thought to be the bottom. Right around this time Bear Sterns had collapsed and been partially saved by the Fed and partially saved by JP Morgan. The S&P 500 Index hit 1273.37, and began to slowly, with great volatility move upwards. However, since the 08 peak in May, the market has lost almost all of its gains. Its down a little more than 10% since May 19th, and currently just above 2008 lows. If the market moves below this, which has been acting as a support, stocks could continue to fall for months.
Because I'm beginning to realize I was premature in calling a bottom (though theoretically March 10 still is the bottom) I think that some of my stock picks should be reassessed. I picked Citigroup back in March, with a price of 20.71 a share. Obviously now is a better time to buy, as you can get shares for 3 bucks cheaper. However, I would hold off on C, wait for any more write downs, analyst downgrades or macroeconomic bad news. Citi might drop even further, which could spell an even better entry point for what I still believe to be a good long term play.
I want to reiterate that most of my picks have done well regardless of the current demise because they are strong companies which were completely undervalued during the last round of market lows. There are many more out there, and even more that overall market sentiment is down so far.
I'm waiting for a sell off in companies like Apple and other solid companies who are not affected directly by sub-prime/credit losses. I missed getting in on this sell off last time (except I did recommend buying AAPL) and I've regretted it. Below I've included a couple of entry points for some stocks I'm watching. These entry points are based on the previous sell off, some technicals and looking at price valuations.
Google Inc. (GOOG)
Buy target: $500
Fwd P/E at this price: 24.85
Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Buy target: $150
Fwd P/E at this price: 28.85
Research in Motion (RIMM)
Buy target: $100
Fwd P/E at this price: 25.77
Wal Mart Stores Inc. (WMT)
Buy target: $55
Fwd P/E at this price: 15.89
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This site reflects my personal opinions. Investing involves risk and everyone must make decisions for themselves. If your dumb enough just to invest based only off what I say, you probably deserve to get screwed.
I may own some of the stocks I talk about on this blog. The intent is not to try to manipulate prices, I don't pretend to have that kind of influence, but to let others know about good investment opportunties I've seen.
CURRENTLY I OWN: Visa (V), Zix Corp (ZIXI) Disney (DIS)
I may own some of the stocks I talk about on this blog. The intent is not to try to manipulate prices, I don't pretend to have that kind of influence, but to let others know about good investment opportunties I've seen.
CURRENTLY I OWN: Visa (V), Zix Corp (ZIXI) Disney (DIS)
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